Prepare for CJR-X before the first performance year begins

CJR-X is mandatory for most hospitals from January 1, 2028, with two-sided risk from year one. We show where you stand against your region now.

CJR-X at a glanceStarts Jan 1, 2028
2,000+hospitals nationwide
90days after discharge
Year 1two-sided risk
Who
Acute care hospitals paid under both the IPPS and OPPS. Excludes TEAM participants and Maryland.
Episodes
Hip, knee, and ankle replacement. MS-DRGs 469, 470, 521, 522 and HCPCS 27130, 27447.
Risk
Losses capped at 20% of target, or 5% for safety net, rural, and certain other hospitals.

What makes CJR-X hard

No practice yearTwo-sided risk starts in 2028.
Your region sets the barTargets come from your census division.
Post-acute drives costThe main source of savings in the original CJR.
Documentation countsRisk adjustment uses the 180 days before surgery.
Quality comes firstA minimum score is required for any payment.

How CJR-X works

  1. 1Care is billed as usualProviders bill Medicare through the 90-day episode.
  2. 2CMS sets a regional targetCensus division spending, risk adjusted, less 2%.
  3. 3CMS reconciles yearlySpending is compared to target from year one.
  4. 4Quality comes firstMeet the minimum quality score to earn a payment.

Risk limits

Gains and losses are capped as a share of target spending. Two-sided risk applies from the first year.

Most hospitalsStandard
20%maximum gain
20%maximum loss
WhoAcute care hospitals paid under both the IPPS and OPPS
Protected hospitalsLower loss limit
20%maximum gain
5%maximum loss
WhoSafety net, rural, Medicare-dependent, and sole community hospitals

Quality comes first

A hospital must reach a minimum composite quality score to earn any payment. Stronger quality lowers the discount CMS applies.

ComplicationsPatient experiencePatient-reported outcomes

What’s ahead

  1. Jul 2027Risk lookback begins
  2. Jan 2028Year 1, two-sided risk
  3. 2029First reconciliation

Proven in bundled payments

11%
Across our clients Bundled Payment Earnings In the 2 most recent CMS BPCI Advanced (bundled payments) performance periods, our clients on average beat their target prices by 11%.
JAMAOur research on mandatory joint replacement bundles

Economic and Clinical Outcomes Under CMS Mandatory Bundled Payments for Joint Replacements

Our team co-authored this JAMA study of the original CJR model, the mandatory joint replacement bundle that CJR-X now expands nationwide.

Read the study in JAMA
HBRCase study

Results published in Harvard Business Review

15%below CMS target prices
34% → 25%90-day mortality
30% → 25%90-day readmissions
Read the article in Harvard Business Review

Why the field trusts us

Bundled Payment and Care Transformation Summit

We host the nation’s only bundled payment summit

Sacha Wolf of the CMS Innovation Center, who works on both CJR-X and TEAM, gave her first public talk on CJR-X at our 8th Summit in August 2026.

How we help hospitals prepare for CJR-X

Predictive analyticsYour position against your region, before 2028.
Actionable opportunitiesSavings sized across the full 90-day episode.
Sid, our AI analystAnswers CJR-X cost questions in plain language.

Know your CJR-X starting point

Our team will walk through your joint replacement episodes and where your largest opportunities are.

Avant-garde Health logo

Surgical Care Optimization

Surgical Cost ManagementSurgical Coding OptimizationSurgical Quality and Outcomes OptimizationPACU and OR Throughput

Bundled Payments

OverviewCJR-XCMS TEAM

Results vary by hospital. Reconciliation outcomes depend on CMS methodology, patient mix, and the actions each hospital takes. Avant-garde Health does not guarantee reconciliation results.

© Avant-garde Health · Improving quality and profitability across the care continuum

2026 SummitLogin